Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Mckenna SchaefbauerW35 Santa Fe Round of 16

W35 Santa Fe · ITF · Round of 16
#445WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#1148WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Khayrutdinova E.
2-6 6-1 3-6
Schaefbauer M.
Khayrutdinova E.
2631
Schaefbauer M.
6162

Maria Schaefbauer defeated Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 6-2, 1-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Santa Fe tournament. Schaefbauer hit one ace and four double faults, winning 65 percent of her first serves and converting 55 percent of her break points. She broke Khayrutdinova's serve six times, while Khayrutdinova broke Schaefbauer's serve five times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
52%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Clear edge
52%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Khayrutdinova E.69%
Schaefbauer M.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Khayrutdinova E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw