Nanari Katsumi vs Sarah MildrenW15 Brisbane 2 Round of 16

W15 Brisbane 2 · ITF · Round of 16
#928WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#1143WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Katsumi N.
1-6 4-6
Mildren S.
Katsumi N.
140
Mildren S.
662

Sarah Mildren defeated Nanari Katsumi 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Brisbane 2. Mildren hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, while Katsumi had 1 ace and 2 double faults. Mildren won 83% of her first serves and converted 60% of her break points, compared to Katsumi's 56% and 50%, respectively; Mildren secured 6 service breaks to Katsumi's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
33%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Katsumi N.35%
Mildren S.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mildren S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.82 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw