Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina PodlinskaW15 Nogent-Sur-Marne Round of 16

W15 Nogent-Sur-Marne · ITF · Round of 16
#768WTA
1219ELO
1170Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#721WTA
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLL
Iliev S.
6-2 1-6 7-6
Podlinska M.
Iliev S.
61782
Podlinska M.
26661

Sarah Iliev defeated Marcelina Podlinska 6-2, 1-6, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Nogent-Sur-Marne. Both players converted 8 service breaks and neither recorded an ace. Iliev won 52% of her first serves, while Podlinska won 48%, and Iliev converted 73% of her break points to Podlinska's 44%.

Key context

  • Match story: Sarah Iliev closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
52%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
49%
48%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Iliev S.47%
Podlinska M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Podlinska M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw