Mai Hontama vs Lilli TaggerLivesport Prague Open Round of 16

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 16
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
LIVESPORT ARENA · 2nd on
#48WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Hontama M.
4-6 4-6
Tagger L.
Hontama M.
440
Tagger L.
662

Lilli Tagger defeated Mai Hontama 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Livesport Prague Open. Tagger hit 5 aces and converted 38% of her break points, while Hontama converted 25%. Tagger won the match with 3 service breaks to Hontama's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Lilli Tagger edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Hontama M.31%
Tagger L.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tagger L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
8.1+246 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1684
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
79

Hontama M.: 19 days rest · Tagger L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw