Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd HarrisBloomfield Hills Round of 16

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#41ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Michelsen A.
6-3 6-3
Harris L.
Michelsen A.
662
Harris L.
330

Alex Michelsen defeated Lloyd Harris in the Round of 16 at the Bloomfield Hills hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Michelsen hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 85% of first-serve points. Harris converted 100% of break points but was only able to break Michelsen's serve once, compared to Michelsen's four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassLloyd Harris3-6 4-6 7-6 6-2 7-6
2023-06-26MallorcaQ2grassLloyd Harris6-7 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
46
Break points saved·Even
92
89
Break points won·Clear edge
32
12
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Michelsen A.71%
Harris L.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Michelsen A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+170 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1640
7.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1665
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
80
43

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 165 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw