Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero GormazHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 16
#46WTA
1773ELO
1733Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#149WTA
1616ELO
1583Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Oliynykova O.
7-6 3-6 6-2
Romero Gormaz L.
Oliynykova O.
77362
Romero Gormaz L.
63621

Oleksandra Oliynykova defeated Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Round of 16 at the Hamburg clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 in favor of Oliynykova. Both players recorded identical numbers of aces, double faults, and service breaks, but Oliynykova had a lower first-serve win percentage and break points conversion rate compared to Romero Gormaz.

Around the match

  • I tried not to think about it. Every time I play, I try not to think about results, winning or losing, or my ranking.

    Oliynykova O.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-23

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-01W75 Sibenik 1R32clayOleksandra Oliynykova7-6(3) 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
19
Break points saved·Dominant
75
46
Break points won·Slight edge
99
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
22
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Oliynykova O.55%
Romero Gormaz L.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1583
7.0Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Oliynykova O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw