V. Gogineni vs Naoya HondaM25 Champaign Round of 16

M25 Champaign · ITF · Round of 16
#770ATP
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#668ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
Gogineni V.
4-6 4-6
Honda N.
Gogineni V.
440
Honda N.
662

Naoya Honda defeated V. Gogineni in the Round of 16 of the M25 Champaign tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Honda hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, converting 27% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. He broke Gogineni's serve 3 times, while Gogineni broke Honda's serve once.

Key context

  • Match story: Naoya Honda edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
67%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Gogineni V.56%
Honda N.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Gogineni V.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw