M. Arce Fernandez vs Pedro Rodenas — M25 Denia Round of 16
M25 Denia · ITF · Round of 16
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
Arce Fernandez M.4-6 4-6
Rodenas P.
Arce Fernandez M.
440
Rodenas P.
662
Pedro Rodenas defeated M. Arce Fernandez 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Denia tournament. Rodenas and Arce Fernandez were even in aces and double faults, but Rodenas had a higher first-serve win percentage and converted more break points. Rodenas won three service breaks to Arce Fernandez's one, advancing to the next round.
Key context
- Match story: Pedro Rodenas edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | M15 Madrid 3 | Q32 | hard | Pedro Rodenas | 6-3 7-6(3) |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
72%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCArce Fernandez M.45%
Rodenas P.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 68%