Duje Markovina vs Blake Ellis — M15 Brisbane Round of 16
M15 Brisbane · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
AUS4#477ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLLW
Markovina D.7-6 6-4
Ellis B.
Markovina D.
7762
Ellis B.
6540
Duje Markovina defeated Blake Ellis 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Brisbane. Markovina hit 14 aces and converted 67% of break points, while Ellis had 7 aces and converted 25% of break points. Markovina won 2 service breaks to Ellis' 1.
Key context
- Match story: Duje Markovina edged Blake Ellis in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
24%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.2
10.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCMarkovina D.34%
Ellis B.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ellis B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.91 of last 6 on hard
Surface form3.84 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
17°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%