Lilian Poling vs E. DongW35 Saskatoon Round of 16

W35 Saskatoon · ITF · Round of 16
#918WTA
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
E. Dong
Last 10 · pre-match
LWL
Poling L.
2-6 4-6
Dong E.
Poling L.
240
Dong E.
662

E. Dong defeated Lilian Poling 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Saskatoon tournament. Dong converted 42% of her break points and won 72% of her first-serve points, while Poling converted 29% of her break points and won 57% of her first-serve points. Dong secured five service breaks to Poling's two, advancing her to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Poling L.Dong E.
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
51%
2nd serve points won·
40%
Service points won·
47%
Return points won·
46%
Break points saved·
46%
Aces / match·
0.6
Double faults / match·
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Poling L.28%
Dong E.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dong E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dong E.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw