Pedro Martinez vs Luciano DarderiEstoril Round of 16

Estoril · ATP · Round of 16
#151ATP
1580ELO
1550Clay ELO
$338kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 4th on
#20ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
Martinez P.
0-6 1-6
Darderi L.
Martinez P.
010
Darderi L.
662

Luciano Darderi defeated Pedro Martinez 6-0, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Estoril tournament. Darderi served 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Martinez had no aces and 2 double faults. Darderi won 79% of his first-serve points and converted 62% of his break points, breaking Martinez's serve 5 times.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresQFclayLuciano Darderi7-5 6-1
2025-03-19Miami MastersR128hardLuciano Darderi6-4 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardPedro Martinez6-3 4-1
2024-06-24MallorcaR32grassLuciano Darderi7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
89
Break points won·Clear edge
36
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Martinez P.21%
Darderi L.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Darderi L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Clay Elo 1550
Surface ELO
8.6+285 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1834
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
89

Martinez P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw