Ryuki Matsuda vs R. Da CostaM15 Bali Round of 16

M15 Bali · ITF · Round of 16
#797ATP
26 yrs · 157 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
R. Da Costa
Last 10 · pre-match
LWW
Matsuda R.
6-4 6-3
Da Costa R.
Matsuda R.
662
Da Costa R.
430

Ryuki Matsuda defeated R. Da Costa 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Bali hard-court tournament. Matsuda hit 3 aces and 0 double faults, while Da Costa had 4 aces and 3 double faults. Matsuda converted 42% of his break points and won 5 service breaks, compared to Da Costa's 2 service breaks and 40% break point conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Ryuki Matsuda closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Matsuda R.Da Costa R.
1st serve in·
65%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
31%
Break points saved·
53%
Aces / match·
1.5
Double faults / match·
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Matsuda R.23%
Da Costa R.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Da Costa R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Da Costa R.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw