Hayato Matsuoka vs Clement Chidekh — Winnipeg Round of 16

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

JPNALT

Hayato Matsuoka

#314ATP

1361ELO

1332Hard ELO

21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWLWLWW

0 — 2

Sets

Friday, 24 July 2026 · 18:10

hard

COURT 1 · 4th on

FRA6

Clement Chidekh

#205ATP

1513ELO

1523Hard ELO

$92kYTD

$401kCAREER

25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWLWLW

Matsuoka H.

3-6 6-7

Chidekh C.

Matsuoka H.

36⁴0

Chidekh C.

67⁷2

Clement Chidekh defeated Hayato Matsuoka in the Round of 16 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in favor of Chidekh.

Key context

Match story: Clement Chidekh closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Matsuoka H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Chidekh C.

Chidekh C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Matsuoka H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Matsuoka H.Chidekh C.

1st serve in·Even

66%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

70%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

49%

Service points won·Even

63%

Return points won·Even

40%

41%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

61%

Aces / match·Even

3.7

3.4

Double faults / match·Even

3.2

3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC

Matsuoka H.42%

Chidekh C.58%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Chidekh C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Matsuoka H.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Chidekh C.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.6Hard Elo 1332

Surface ELO

7.4+191 Hard Elo edge

3.1Overall Elo 1361

ELO gap

6.9Overall Elo 1513

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.95 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.45 of last 10 on hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Matsuoka H.Chidekh C.

Freshness·Clear edge

Matsuoka H.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Chidekh C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather

28°CClear

Wind 23 km/hHumidity 52%

Hayato Matsuoka vs Clement Chidekh — Winnipeg Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return