Gabriela Ce vs Mia Ristic — W75 Cordenons Quarter-final

W75 Cordenons · ITF · Quarter-final
Gabriela Ce
BRA
Gabriela Ce
#324WTA
1324ELO
1302Clay ELO
33 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
SRB4
Mia Ristic
#219WTA
1504ELO
1479Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Ce G.
2-6 3-6
Ristic M.
Ce G.
230
Ristic M.
662

Mia Ristic defeated Gabriela Ce 6-2, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the W75 Cordenons tournament on clay. Ristic hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 74% of her first serves and converting 57% of her break points. She converted 4 service breaks to Ce's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ce G.Ristic M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ce G.Ristic M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
29
19
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
35
Break points won·Clear edge
74
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
45
Tiebreaks·
8
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Ce G.52%
Ristic M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ce G.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ristic M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1302
Surface ELO
7.2+177 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1504
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ce G.Ristic M.
Freshness·
—
100

Ristic M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw