Hernan Casanova vs Ludvig Fredrik HedeM25 Denia Round of 16

M25 Denia · ITF · Round of 16
#340ATP
1393ELO
1381Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#1674ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Casanova H.
7-6 6-1
Fredrik Hede L.
Casanova H.
7762
Fredrik Hede L.
6310

Hernan Casanova defeated Ludvig Fredrik Hede 7-6, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Denia tournament. Casanova and Hede each hit one ace, with Casanova committing zero double faults to Hede's four. Casanova won 73% of his first serves and converted 75% of his break points, compared to 68% and 33% for Hede, as he secured three service breaks to Hede's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Hernan Casanova came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Casanova H.66%
Fredrik Hede L.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Casanova H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Casanova H.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw