Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrero CurbeloSegovia Round of 16

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#240ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 2nd on
#354ATP
1303ELO
1237Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Moro Canas A.
6-3 6-4
Marrero Curbelo I.
Moro Canas A.
662
Marrero Curbelo I.
340

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Ivan Marrero Curbelo 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Segovia hard-court tournament. Moro Canas hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 80% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He secured 2 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.73%
Marrero Curbelo I.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moro Canas A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+281 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1237
7.8Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1302
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
75

Moro Canas A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Marrero Curbelo I.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 22%

Draw