Harold Mayot vs Mika Brunold — Zug Round of 16

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Harold Mayot
FRA8
Harold Mayot
#252ATP
1571ELO
1546Clay ELO
$73kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 3rd on
SUIQ
Mika Brunold
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLLL
Mayot H.
6-4 6-3
Brunold M.
Mayot H.
662
Brunold M.
430

Harold Mayot advanced to the quarterfinals of the Zug tournament with a 6-4, 6-3 victory over Mika Brunold in the Round of 16. Mayot converted 60% of his break points and won 79% of his first-serve points, compared to 53% for Brunold. Mayot secured 3 service breaks to Brunold's 1, and also hit more aces (4 to 2) and double faults (3 to 1).

Key context

  • Match story: Harold Mayot closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mayot H.Brunold M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mayot H.Brunold M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
29
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
72
Break points won·Slight edge
22
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
32
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mayot H.63%
Brunold M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mayot H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mayot H.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Brunold M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+139 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1407
6.3Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1466
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mayot H.Brunold M.
Freshness·
88
—

Mayot H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw