Nuria Brancaccio vs Carlota Martinez Cirez — W75 Cordenons Quarter-final

W75 Cordenons · ITF · Quarter-final
Nuria Brancaccio
ITA1
Nuria Brancaccio
#190WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
ESP
Carlota Martinez Cirez
#387WTA
1324ELO
1307Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLW
Brancaccio N.
6-4 6-1
Martinez Cirez C.
Brancaccio N.
662
Martinez Cirez C.
410

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Carlota Martinez Cirez 6-4, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the W75 Cordenons tournament on clay. Brancaccio converted all 5 of her break points, compared to Martinez Cirez converting 2 of 5. Brancaccio won 70% of her first-serve points to Martinez Cirez's 38%.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-06W35 Rome 1SFclayNuria Brancaccio5-7 6-2 6-3
2023-01-22W25 Buenos AiresFclayCarlota Martinez Cirez6-4 5-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
Brancaccio N.Martinez Cirez C.
1st serve in·Even
74%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.68%
Martinez Cirez C.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Brancaccio N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brancaccio N.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Martinez Cirez C.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+180 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1307
7.1Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1324
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw