Jacob Fearnley vs Tristan BoyerBloomfield Hills Round of 16

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#107ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWW
Fearnley J.
6-4 6-4
Boyer T.
Fearnley J.
662
Boyer T.
440

Jacob Fearnley defeated Tristan Boyer 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Bloomfield Hills hard-court tournament. Fearnley hit one ace and seven double faults, while Boyer had three aces and three double faults. Fearnley won 79% of his first serves and converted 38% of break points, compared to Boyer's 72% and 50%, respectively; Fearnley secured three service breaks to Boyer's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Jacob Fearnley edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersQ2hardJacob Fearnley6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
43
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
83
Break points won·Dominant
70
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Fearnley J.60%
Boyer T.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fearnley J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1525
5.5Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1561
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
77

Fearnley J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Boyer T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw