Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki — M15 Brisbane Round of 16
M15 Brisbane · ITF · Round of 16
AUS3#458ATP
1211ELO
1180Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
Bouzige M.1-6 7-5 6-2
Mochizuki Y.
Bouzige M.
1762
Mochizuki Y.
6521
Moerani Bouzige defeated Yuki Mochizuki in the Round of 16 at the M15 Brisbane tournament. The match ended with a score of 1-6, 7-5, 6-2 in favor of Bouzige. Bouzige hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, while Mochizuki had 7 aces and 1 double fault.
Key context
- Match story: Moerani Bouzige dropped the opening set before beating Yuki Mochizuki 1–6 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | M15 Tokyo 4 | R32 | hard | Yuki Mochizuki | 1-6 6-3 6-7 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCBouzige M.38%
Mochizuki Y.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Mochizuki Y. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.02 of last 10 on hard
Surface form2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 77%