Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Estoril Round of 16
Van Assche L.
Luca Van Assche defeated Pablo Carreno Busta in the Round of 16 at the Estoril tournament. The match was played on clay and Van Assche won with a score of 6-3, 4-6, 6-2. The win advanced Van Assche to the next round.
Key context
- Match story: Luca Van Assche closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Carreno Busta P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadVan Assche L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About