Bastian Malla vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesM25 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#896ATP
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#567ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Malla B.
6-3 6-7 3-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Malla B.
66231
Meligeni Alves F.
37762

Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Bastian Malla 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Sao Paulo tournament on clay. Alves served three aces with no double faults, while Malla had no aces and five double faults. Alves converted 46% of break points and broke Malla's serve six times, compared to Malla's five breaks.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoQ1clayFelipe Meligeni Alves7-5 6-2
2025-02-22SantiagoQ16clayFelipe Meligeni Alves7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Malla B.31%
Meligeni Alves F.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Meligeni Alves F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
0.91 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw