Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torres — Estoril Round of 16
Estoril · ATP · Round of 16
CHI3#29ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 3rd on
Tabilo A.4-6 4-6
Torres T.
Tabilo A.
440
Torres T.
662
Tiago Torres defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Estoril tournament. Torres hit 7 aces and 5 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He secured 3 service breaks to Tabilo's 1, advancing to the next round.
Key context
- Match story: Tiago Torres edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
52%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCTabilo A.84%
Torres T.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Tabilo A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 64%