Daniel Siniakov vs Lasse PoertnerM25 Metzingen Round of 32

M25 Metzingen · ITF · Round of 32
#467ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#1415ATP
20 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWW
Siniakov D.
7-5 6-1
Poertner L.
Siniakov D.
762
Poertner L.
510

Daniel Siniakov defeated Lasse Poertner 7-5, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Metzingen tournament on clay. Siniakov hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, winning 69% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He broke Poertner's serve 3 times, while Poertner did not manage to break Siniakov's serve.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Siniakov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Siniakov D.41%
Poertner L.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Poertner L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.84 of last 8 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Siniakov D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw