Gauthier Onclin vs Niels Visker — Tampere Round of 16

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Gauthier Onclin
BEL3
Gauthier Onclin
#169ATP
1567ELO
1496Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$617kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
NEDQ
Niels Visker
#428ATP
1371ELO
1262Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLW
Onclin G.
6-2 7-6
Visker N.
Onclin G.
6782
Visker N.
2660

Gauthier Onclin advanced to the quarterfinals of the Tampere tournament with a 6-2, 7-6 victory over Niels Visker in the Round of 16. Onclin did not hit an ace but converted 40% of his break points, securing two service breaks en route to the win. Visker hit 10 aces but was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Onclin G.Visker N.
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
32%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
10.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:52 UTC
Onclin G.60%
Visker N.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Onclin G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Onclin G.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Visker N.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.9+235 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1262
7.5Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1371
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Onclin G.Visker N.
Freshness·
55
—

Onclin G.: played today · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw