Jan Lennard Struff vs Mariano NavoneKitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 16
#43ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#44ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Lennard Struff J.
0-6 3-6
Navone M.
Lennard Struff J.
030
Navone M.
662

Mariano Navone defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-0, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Kitzbuhel tournament. Navone hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Struff hit 1 ace and 3 double faults. Navone won 75% of his first-serve points and converted 55% of his break points, compared to Struff's 41% on first serve and 100% on break points; Navone secured 6 service breaks to Struff's 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQ1hardMariano Navone6-7 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
73%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
51
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
77
Break points won·Dominant
5
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
17
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Lennard Struff J.46%
Navone M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.8+141 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1822
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
83

Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Navone M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw