Elizabeth Mandlik vs Lucrezia StefaniniW100 Evansville Round of 32

W100 Evansville · ITF · Round of 32
#175WTA
1530ELO
1505Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
Mandlik E.
4-6 0-6
Stefanini L.
Mandlik E.
400
Stefanini L.
662

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Elizabeth Mandlik 6-4, 6-0 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Evansville. Stefanini converted 50% of her break points and won 64% of her first-serve points, while Mandlik converted 22% of her break points and won 56% of her first-serve points. Stefanini secured six service breaks to Mandlik's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
29
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
11
26
Break points won·Even
95
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
60
Tiebreaks·Even
19
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mandlik E.34%
Stefanini L.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stefanini L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1497
5.0Overall Elo 1530
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1527
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
81

Mandlik E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw