Kaue Noatto vs Bastian Malla — M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32
M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
Noatto K.1-6 5-7
Malla B.
Noatto K.
150
Malla B.
672
Bastian Malla defeated Kaue Noatto 6-1, 7-5 in the Round of 32 of the M25 Sao Paulo tournament on clay. Malla hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, winning 57% of his first serves and converting 78% of break points. He won 7 service breaks to Noatto's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Bastian Malla came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Dominant
75%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCNoatto K.12%
Malla B.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Malla B. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 31%