Lui Maxted vs L. LarueM15 Rognac Round of 16

M15 Rognac · ITF · Round of 16
#403ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#948ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLL
Maxted L.
3-6 7-5 6-1
Larue L.
Maxted L.
3762
Larue L.
6511

Lui Maxted defeated L. Larue in the Round of 16 at the M15 Rognac. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 in favor of Maxted. Maxted hit one ace and eight double faults, while Larue had six aces and 11 double faults; Maxted converted 50% of break points and broke Larue's serve four times, compared to Larue's two breaks and 20% conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Lui Maxted dropped the opening set before beating L. Larue 3–6 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Maxted L.53%
Larue L.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Maxted L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw