Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas RuizBloomfield Hills Round of 16

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#159ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#130ATP
1757ELO
1630Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLWWL
Lajal M.
6-2 4-6 7-6
Llamas Ruiz P.
Lajal M.
64772
Llamas Ruiz P.
26651

Mark Lajal advanced to the quarterfinals of the Bloomfield Hills tournament, defeating Pablo Llamas Ruiz in a three-set match. Lajal won 6-2, 4-6, 7-6, with 12 aces and 5 double faults, while Llamas Ruiz had 5 aces and 1 double fault. Lajal converted 43% of break points and held serve 77% of the time to secure the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Mark Lajal closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
63
Break points saved·Even
89
88
Break points won·Dominant
13
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Lajal M.44%
Llamas Ruiz P.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1556
Surface ELO
5.9+74 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1757
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
81

Lajal M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: played today · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw