Erika Sema vs Kelly KellerW35 Saskatoon Round of 32

W35 Saskatoon · ITF · Round of 32
#490WTA
37 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#1184WTA
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLWLW
Sema E.
7-6 6-2
Keller K.
Sema E.
7762
Keller K.
6320

Erika Sema defeated K. Keller in the Round of 32 at the W35 Saskatoon tournament, winning 7-6, 6-2 on hard courts. Sema and Keller both served zero aces, but Sema committed three double faults to Keller's seven. Sema won 52% of her first-serve points to Keller's 29%, and converted 67% of her break points to Keller's 40%, with Sema securing eight service breaks to Keller's six.

Key context

  • Match story: Erika Sema closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
45%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Sema E.68%
Keller K.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sema E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw