Hayu Kinoshita vs Elvina KalievaW100 Evansville Round of 32

W100 Evansville · ITF · Round of 32
#223WTA
1546ELO
1531Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#120WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLL
Kinoshita H.
6-7 5-7
Kalieva E.
Kinoshita H.
6250
Kalieva E.
7772

Elvina Kalieva defeated Hayu Kinoshita in the Round of 32 at the W100 Evansville tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Kalieva served 3 aces to Kinoshita's 0 and committed 1 double fault to Kinoshita's 4. Kalieva won 73% of her first-serve points to Kinoshita's 56%, converted 33% of break points to Kinoshita's 43%, and broke serve 4 times to Kinoshita's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Kinoshita H.62%
Kalieva E.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kinoshita H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1569
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Kalieva E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw