Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mees RottgeringWinnipeg Round of 16

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#245ATP
1489ELO
1468Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#418ATP
1468ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Hsiou Hsu Y.
6-3 6-3
Rottgering M.
Hsiou Hsu Y.
662
Rottgering M.
330

Yu Hsiou Hsu defeated Mees Rottgering in the Round of 16 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Hsu. This win advanced Hsu to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Hsiou Hsu Y.48%
Rottgering M.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1449
5.3Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Hsiou Hsu Y.: 16 days rest · Rottgering M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw