Jack Satterfield vs Naoya HondaM25 Champaign Round of 32

M25 Champaign · ITF · Round of 32
#1300ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#668ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
Satterfield J.
6-7 7-5 1-6
Honda N.
Satterfield J.
68711
Honda N.
710562

Naoya Honda defeated Jack Satterfield in the Round of 32 of the M25 Champaign tournament, winning 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 on hard courts. Honda hit 5 aces and 5 double faults, while Satterfield hit 2 aces and 6 double faults. Honda converted 55% of break points and broke Satterfield's serve 6 times, compared to Satterfield's 5 breaks and 26% conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Naoya Honda came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 5–7 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
5.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Satterfield J.44%
Honda N.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw