Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann — Kitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 16
Marco Trungelliti
ARG
Marco Trungelliti
#91ATP
1627ELO
1621Clay ELO
$400kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
KÜCHENMEISTER INTERWETTEN COURT · 2nd on
Yannick Hanfmann
GER
Yannick Hanfmann
#55ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Trungelliti M.
4-6 6-7
Hanfmann Y.
Trungelliti M.
4620
Hanfmann Y.
6772

Yannick Hanfmann defeated Marco Trungelliti in the Round of 16 at Kitzbuhel, winning 6-4, 7-6 on clay. Hanfmann served 7 aces and committed 2 double faults, converting 22% of break points and winning 81% of first-serve points. Trungelliti converted 100% of break points but only won 60% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroQ1clayMarco Trungelliti6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
Trungelliti M.Hanfmann Y.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
8.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Trungelliti M.Hanfmann Y.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
90
Break points won·Clear edge
25
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
43
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
11
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Trungelliti M.37%
Hanfmann Y.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hanfmann Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Trungelliti M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Hanfmann Y.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1621
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1781
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Trungelliti M.Hanfmann Y.
Freshness·Clear edge
75
89

Trungelliti M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw