Francesca Mattioli vs Alisa DanilovaW75 Vacaria Round of 32

W75 Vacaria · ITF · Round of 32
#858WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#1097WTA
33 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
Mattioli F.
6-3 6-2
Danilova A.
Mattioli F.
662
Danilova A.
320

Francesca Mattioli defeated Alisa Danilova 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Vacaria clay court tournament. Mattioli served one ace and committed two double faults, while Danilova did not record an ace and made four double faults. Mattioli won 61% of her first serves and converted 55% of her break points, compared to Danilova's 49% and 60%, respectively; Mattioli secured six service breaks to Danilova's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Mattioli F.72%
Danilova A.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mattioli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 9 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
15°CShowers
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw