Julio Cesar Porras vs Maxime ChazalM15 Rognac Round of 16

M15 Rognac · ITF · Round of 16
#848ATP
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#469ATP
1294ELO
1241Hard ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Porras J.
6-4 0-6 7-6
Chazal M.
Porras J.
60772
Chazal M.
46621

Julio Cesar Porras defeated Maxime Chazal in the Round of 16 at the M15 Rognac. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 0-6, 7-6 in favor of Porras. Despite being outbroken 6-4, Porras converted 44% of his break points to secure the win.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-26M25 Tarragona 1R32clayJulio Cesar Porras1-6 7-5 6-2
2024-04-02M25 Reus 1R32clayJulio Cesar Porras2-6 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
35%
Break points saved·Dominant
20%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Porras J.27%
Chazal M.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chazal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.22 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw