Hernan Casanova vs Jordi Garcia MestreM25 Denia Round of 32

M25 Denia · ITF · Round of 32
#340ATP
1393ELO
1381Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#1925ATP
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Casanova H.
6-3 6-2
Garcia Mestre J.
Casanova H.
662
Garcia Mestre J.
320

Hernan Casanova defeated Jordi Garcia Mestre 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Denia clay court tournament. Casanova did not hit an ace but did not commit a double fault, while Garcia Mestre hit 2 of each. Casanova won 75% of his first serves and converted 38% of break points, compared to 55% and 25% for Garcia Mestre; Casanova had 5 service breaks to Garcia Mestre's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
77%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
49%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Casanova H.72%
Garcia Mestre J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Casanova H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Casanova H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw