Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio BuseKitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 16
#235ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#36ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWL
Feldbausch K.
6-2 2-6 2-6
Buse I.
Feldbausch K.
6221
Buse I.
2662

Ignacio Buse defeated Kilian Feldbausch 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Kitzbuhel tournament. Buse hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Feldbausch hit 1 ace and 4 double faults. Buse converted 86% of his break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Feldbausch's 50% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
63
Break points saved·Dominant
27
87
Break points won·Dominant
64
28
Deciding sets·Even
77
80
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Feldbausch K.35%
Buse I.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Buse I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1599
Surface ELO
7.3+187 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1822
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.48 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Feldbausch K.: 19 days rest · Buse I.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw