Emerson Jones vs Ayana AkliW100 Evansville Round of 32

W100 Evansville · ITF · Round of 32
#131WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#265WTA
1381ELO
1397Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLL
Jones E.
5-7 4-6
Akli A.
Jones E.
540
Akli A.
762

Ayana Akli defeated Emerson Jones 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Evansville hard-court tournament. Akli and Jones were tied with zero aces, but Akli had one double fault to Jones' six. Akli converted 57% of her break points and broke Jones' serve four times, while Jones broke Akli's serve twice.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Jones E.67%
Akli A.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jones E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+267 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1397
8.6Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1381
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Jones E.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw