Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen ZhangWinnipeg Round of 32

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#325ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#158ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Zink T.
6-7 3-6
Zhang Z.
Zink T.
6130
Zhang Z.
7762

Zhizhen Zhang defeated Tyler Zink in the Round of 32 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. Zhang won the match in straight sets, taking the first set 7-6 and the second set 6-3.

Key context

  • Match story: Zhizhen Zhang closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
33%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Zink T.33%
Zhang Z.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zhang Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1351
Surface ELO
8.6+291 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1371
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
100

Zink T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Zhang Z.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw