Jan Lennard Struff vs Alexander ShevchenkoKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#43ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#89ATP
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
Lennard Struff J.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Shevchenko A.
Lennard Struff J.
37762
Shevchenko A.
66541

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Alexander Shevchenko in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 in favor of Struff. The two players converted an equal number of service breaks, three each.

Around the match

  • The fast conditions suit my game.

    Lennard Struff J.Tennisnerd

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04MetzR32hardJan Lennard Struff3-6 6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenQ1hardJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-4
2023-01-10Australian OpenQ128hardJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
51
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
78
Break points won·Clear edge
5
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
90
Tiebreaks·Even
92
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Lennard Struff J.52%
Shevchenko A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1624
5.3Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1669
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.22 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
85

Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw