Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra SasnovichLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#96WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 1st on
#138WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Timofeeva M.
6-3 6-4
Sasnovich A.
Timofeeva M.
662
Sasnovich A.
340

Maria Timofeeva defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Round of 32 at the Livesport Prague Open, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Timofeeva hit 5 aces to Sasnovich's 1 and won 70% of her first-serve points, while Sasnovich converted 75% of her break points. Timofeeva secured 5 service breaks to Sasnovich's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15BudapestR16clayAliaksandra Sasnovich6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
38
Break points saved·Dominant
76
14
Break points won·Slight edge
96
91
Deciding sets·Slight edge
59
69
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
20
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.47%
Sasnovich A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1726
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Timofeeva M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d) · Sasnovich A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw