Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofner — Kitzbuhel Round of 32
Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
SVK#75ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$303kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#127ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
Molcan A.6-4 6-4
Ofner S.
Molcan A.
662
Ofner S.
440
Alex Molcan defeated Sebastian Ofner 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel. Molcan converted 50% of his break points and secured three service breaks to Ofner's one. Ofner had three aces and committed two double faults in the match.
Key context
- Match story: Alex Molcan edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-31 | Kitzbuhel | R16 | clay | Alex Molcan | 4-6 7-5 7-6 |
| 2016-08-29 | Austria F8 | R16 | clay | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 7-6(5) |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCMolcan A.56%
Ofner S.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.4+31 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.6Clay Elo 1680
5.4Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap4.6Overall Elo 1713
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 49%