Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka — Segovia Round of 32

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Gonzalo Villanueva
ARGALT
Gonzalo Villanueva
#322ATP
1361ELO
1244Hard ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 1 · 4th on
Ilya Ivashka
BLRSE
Ilya Ivashka
#374ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Villanueva G.
6-3 6-3
Ivashka I.
Villanueva G.
662
Ivashka I.
330

Gonzalo Villanueva defeated Ilya Ivashka in the Round of 32 of the Segovia hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Villanueva hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Ivashka hit 1 ace and 10 double faults. Villanueva converted 67% of his break points and broke Ivashka's serve 4 times, compared to Ivashka's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Villanueva G.Ivashka I.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Villanueva G.Ivashka I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
33
Break points saved·Dominant
19
87
Break points won·Dominant
26
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
30
Tiebreaks·Even
17
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Villanueva G.5%
Ivashka I.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ivashka I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Villanueva G.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Ivashka I.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1244
Surface ELO
8.3+266 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Villanueva G.Ivashka I.
Freshness·
—
98

Ivashka I.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw