Xinyu Gao vs Lilli Tagger — Livesport Prague Open Round of 32
Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
Gao X.2-6 4-6
Tagger L.
Gao X.
240
Tagger L.
662
Lilli Tagger defeated Xinyu Gao in the Round of 32 at the Livesport Prague Open, winning 6-2, 6-4 on hard courts. Tagger hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while converting 75% of her break points and winning 76% of her first-serve points. Tagger secured 3 service breaks to Gao's 0 in the match.
Key context
- Match story: Lilli Tagger dropped just 6 games past Xinyu Gao.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | Australian Open | Q128 | hard | Lilli Tagger | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCGao X.19%
Tagger L.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Tagger L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1492
Surface ELO7.4+195 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap7.3Overall Elo 1684
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.06 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.