Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime FariaEstoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1743ELO
1690Clay ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 4th on
#79ATP
1735ELO
1706Clay ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLLWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-6 4-6
Faria J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
340
Faria J.
662

Jaime Faria defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Round of 32 at Estoril, winning 6-3, 6-4 on clay. Faria served 5 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Van De Zandschulp had 1 ace and 8 double faults. Faria converted 57% of his break points and broke Van De Zandschulp's serve 4 times, compared to Van De Zandschulp's 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Jaime Faria closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.8
7.1
Double faults / match·Even
4.8
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
76
Break points won·Dominant
51
22
Deciding sets·Even
82
81
Tiebreaks·Even
76
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.44%
Faria J.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1690
Surface ELO
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1735
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
57

Van De Zandschulp B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw