Hugo Gaston vs Damir DzumhurEstoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
#97ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 2nd on
#104ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$538kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Gaston H.
5-0
Dzumhur D.
Gaston H.
50
Dzumhur D.
00

Hugo Gaston advanced to the next round of the Estoril tournament with a win over Damir Dzumhur in the Round of 32. Dzumhur retired during the match, trailing 5-0. Gaston converted two of four break points and won 75 percent of his first-serve points.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14BastadR16clayDamir Dzumhur4-6 6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
70
Break points won·Dominant
35
75
Deciding sets·Even
72
75
Tiebreaks·Even
82
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Gaston H.52%
Dzumhur D.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1566
Surface ELO
5.3+28 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1638
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
98

Gaston H.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dzumhur D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw