Alexander Donski vs Max Hans RehbergZug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#502ATP
1428ELO
1369Clay ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
TOPCAR COURT 2 · 1st on
#342ATP
1474ELO
1398Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWLL
Donski A.
4-6 3-6
Hans Rehberg M.
Donski A.
430
Hans Rehberg M.
662

Max Hans Rehberg defeated Alexander Donski in the Round of 32 of the Zug tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-3. Rehberg served more efficiently, posting a 79% first-serve win percentage compared to Donski's 62%, and converted 40% of his break points. Rehberg secured two service breaks to Donski's none, and had more aces and fewer double faults than his opponent.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15Challenger Men - Singles: Poznan (Poland), ClayFclayMax Hans Rehberg3-6 3-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Donski A.35%
Hans Rehberg M.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hans Rehberg M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1369
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1428
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1474
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
81

Donski A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Hans Rehberg M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw