Jan Choinski vs Jesper De Jong — Estoril Round of 32

Estoril · ATP · Round of 32
Jan Choinski
GBR
Jan Choinski
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
—
Sets
Cancelled
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 1st on
Jesper De Jong
NED
Jesper De Jong
#106ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
Choinski J.
vs
De Jong J.

The Estoril round of 32 between Jan Choinski and Jesper De Jong was cancelled. Cancellations usually follow weather, a scheduling change, or a withdrawal.

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ1hardJan Choinski6-1 7-6
2026-02-21DubaiQ16hardJan Choinski6-1 7-6(4)

Statistics

This season
Choinski J.De Jong J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
7.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Choinski J.De Jong J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Even
20
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
61
Tiebreaks·Even
41
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Choinski J.42%
De Jong J.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · De Jong J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Choinski J.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
De Jong J.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1652
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1711
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Choinski J.De Jong J.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
92

Choinski J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw